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Tour de France 2016 preview: yellow jersey contenders – form guide

Who's hot and who's not as the WorldTour peloton prepares to go wheel-to-wheel at the 2016 Tour de France?

Defending champion Chris Froome (Team Sky) will bid to become the first man to win the Tour de France in back-to-back years for more than a decade, with this year’s race starting on Saturday (July 2).

But the Kenyan-born Brit has already admitted the 2016 Tour de France will be the hardest for the GC men, with a host of big-name contenders for the maillot jaune.

Chris Froome is flanked on the 2015 podium by Nairo Quintana and Alejandro Valverde (Pic: Sirotti)

In fact, the winners of ten of the last 11 Grand Tours will be on the Mont-Saint-Michel – only veteran 2013 Vuelta winner Chris Horner is missing.

Giro d’Italia champion Vincenzo Nibali is set to ride for last year’s Vuelta a Espana winner Fabio Aru, while two-time Tour winner Alberto Contador and 2014 Giro champion Nairo Quintana are also among Froome’s rivals.

And then there is the next generation of Grand Tour riders too, including former white jersey winners Tejay van Garderen and Thibaut Pinot.

So who is in top shape ahead of the year’s biggest event on two wheels? We’ve taken a closer look at the form guide.

Chris Froome (GBR) – Team Sky

Defending champion Chris Froome goes into the Tour de France on the back of his third Criterium du Dauphine win – after his last two victories, in 2013 and 2015, he went on to win the Tour.

Chris Froome expects this Tour de France to be his toughest yet (pic: Sirotti)
  • 2016 best results
    Herald Sun Tour – stage win, winner overall
    Volta a Catalunya – eighth overall
    Tour de Romandie – stage win
    Criterium du Dauphine – stage win, winner overall

The Kenyan-born Brit’s 2016 season had actually been relatively quiet beforehand, having won the Herald Sun Tour in February before finishing eighth at the Volta a Catalunya.

An ill-timed mechanical at the Tour de Romandie cost him there, too, but he finished strongly with a stage win at Villars-s/Ollon before carrying that form into the Dauphine.

Froome says this year’s Tour will be the toughest to win, but he has come into form at the right time once again.

Tour de France best results: winner (2013, 2015)
Tour de France 2015: winner
Team Sky team for 2016 Tour de France: Chris Froome, Geraint Thomas, Luke Rowe, Ian Stannard (GBR), Mikel Landa, Mikel Nieve (ESP), Wout Poels (NED), Sergio Henao (COL), Vasil Kiryienka (BLR)

Nairo Quintana (COL) – Movistar

Runner-up behind Chris Froome in 2013 and 2015, will it be third time lucky for Movistar’s Nairo Quintana?

Nairo Quintana has been in superb form in 2016 (pic: Sirotti)
  • 2016 best results
    Tour de San Luis – third overall
    Volta a Catalunya – winner overall
    Tour of the Basque Country – third overall
    Tour de Romandie – stage win, winner overall
    Route du Sud – stage win, winner overall

Well the signs are certainly good – he finished the last Tour with a great showing in the mountains and there’s no repeat of the tricky first week he faced last year either, which is where Quintana effectively lost the race.

The 26-year-old Colombian has been on top form in 2016 too, and races on the back of victory at the Route du Sud.

Quintana has also won the Tour de Romandie and Volta a Catalunya and was third at both the Tour of the Basque Country and Tour de San Luis – the latter won by his team-mate and brother Dayer.

Alejandro Valverde will again be part of Quintana’s climber-heavy supporting cast too, after the Spaniard finished third at the Giro d’Italia. It’s easy to see why Froome is so fearful of the Movistar man this year.

Tour de France best results: second (2013, 2015)
Tour de France 2015: second
Movistar team for 2016 Tour de France: Nairo Quintana, Winner Anacona (COL), Alejandro Valverde, Gorka Izagirre, Ion Izagirre, Daniel Moreno, Imanol Erviti, Jesus Herrada (ESP), Nelson Oliveira (POR)

Tejay van Garderen (USA)/Richie Porte (AUS) – BMC Racing

BMC Racing go into the Tour de France with a two-pronged attack, with Tejay van Garderen and Richie Porte both in contention overall.

Tejay van Garderen has twice finished fifth at the Tour de France (pic: Sirotti)
  • 2016 best results (Van Garderen)
    Ruta del Sol – stage win, second overall
    Volta a Catalunya – fifth overall
    Tour de Romandie – tenth overall
    Tour de Suisse – stage win, sixth overall

The American was set for a podium place 12 months ago, but illness forced him to quit the race with just five stages remaining.

As for Australian former Team Sky man Porte, his winter switch to BMC Racing was done to allow him more opportunity to race for himself at the Tour – and this is his big opportunity.

Porte showed his form at the Criterium du Dauphine, finishing fourth overall – he only missed out on the final podium on the final weekend, while Van Garderen was a stage winner at the Tour de Suisse.

Richie Porte has the chance to show he can lead a team at the Tour de France (pic: Sirotti)
  • 2016 best results (Porte)
    Tour Down Under – stage win, second overall
    Paris-Nice – third overall
    Volta a Catalunya – fourth overall
    Criterium du Dauphine – fourth overall

They have done very little racing together in 2016, so it will be interesting to see how the dynamic works in practice – and question marks still remain over Porte’s ability to compete across the entirety of a Grand Tour – but both are likely to be at the sharp end in the mountains.

Tour de France best results: Van Garderen – fifth (2012, 2014); Porte – 19th (2013)
Tour de France 2015: Van Garderen – DNF; Porte – 48th
BMC Racing team for 2016 Tour de France: Richie Porte, Rohan Dennis (AUS), Tejay van Garderen, Brent Bookwalter (USA), Greg van Avermaet (BEL), Damiano Caruso (ITA), Marcus Burghardt (GER), Amael Moinard (FRA), Michael Schar (SUI)

Fabio Aru (ITA) – Astana

Fabio Aru broke his Grand Tour duck at the 2015 Vuelta a Espana, winning courtesy of a great performance in the mountains on the final weekend.

Fabio Aru foiled the sprinters with a late race-winning attack on stage three of the Criterium du Dauphine (pic: Sirotti)
  • 2016 best results
    Volta a la Comunitat Valenciana – sixth overall
    Volta ao Algarve – ninth overall
    Criterium du Dauphine – stage win

The Italian was also second at the Giro d’Italia last year – one better than his third place in 2014 – and has earned his first shot at the Tour de France as a result.

With Vincenzo Nibali having won the Giro this year, Astana currently hold two of the three Grand Tour titles, and stand to become the first team since Eddy Merckx’s Molteni team in 1973 to hold all three simultaneously (the difference being Merckx won all three for Molteni).

Aru’s form, however, has been patchy – a stage win at the Criterium du Dauphine, which he ultimately finished in 45th place, his only victory of the season.

Nevertheless, both Aru and Nibali have proved in the past, as long as you arrive on the startline in top shape, the form book can count for nothing.

Tour de France best results: debut
Tour de France 2015: N/A
Astana for 2016 Tour de France: Fabio Aru, Vincenzo Nibalia, Diego Rosa, Paolo Tiralongo (ITA), Jakob Fuglsang (DEN), Tanel Kangert (EST), Alexey Lutsenko (KAZ), Luis Leon Sanchez (ESP), Andrei Grivko (UKR).

Alberto Contador (ESP) – Tinkoff

Fifth place at the Criterium du Dauphine was Alberto Contador’s worst result of the season, which can be read two different ways.

Alberto Contador led the Criterium du Dauphine before finishing fifth – actually his worst result of 2016 so far (pic: Sirotti)
  • 2016 best results
    Volta ao Algarve – stage win, third overall
    Paris-Nice – second overall
    Volta a Catalunya – second overall
    Tour of the Basque Country – stage win, winner overall
    Criterium du Dauphine – stage win, fifth overall

Either Contador’s great early-season form – winning the Tour of the Basque Country and finishing on the podium at the Volta a Catalunya, Paris-Nice and Volta ao Algarve –  means he peaked too early, or the fact fifth is his worst result yet shows he is in superb form.

Even there, however, El Pistolero showed what he can do by winning the prologue – a mountain time trial in Les Gets – which bodes well for the Tour’s own mountain time trial.

A seven-time Grand Tour winner – nine if you include the two scratched from the record – Contador’s early-season form was so good he reconsidered his retirement plans as a result.

In winning the 2014 Vuelta a Espana and 2015 Giro d’Italia, Contador was a class above – if he can recreate that form not even Froome or Quintana will be able to touch him.

Tour de France best results: winner (2007, 2009, 2010)
Tour de France 2015: fifth
Tinkoff for 2016 Tour de France: Alberto Contador (ESP), Peter Sagan (SVK), Roman Kreuziger (CZE), Rafal Majka, Maciej Bodnar (POL), Oscar Gatto, Matteo Tosatto (ITA), Michael Valgren (DEN), Robert Kiserlovski (CRO)

Romain Bardet (FRA) – Ag2r-La Mondiale

Runner-up at the Criterium du Dauphine, by just 12 seconds from Froome, Romain Bardet could even have won that race had he not attacked Thibaut Pinot when the two rode away from the peloton on the penultimate stage.

Romain Bardet was second at the Criterium du Dauphine (pic: Sirotti)
  • 2016 best results
    Tour of Oman – second overall
    Paris-Nice – ninth overall
    Volta a Catalunya – sixth overall
    Giro del Trentino – sixth overall
    Criterium du Dauphine – second overall

That move angered Pinot, who stopped working with Bardet and promptly won the stage in front of him – though it may have been a blessing given how the media would have hyped Bardet up for the Tour if he won.

The Ag2r-La Mondiale man is still just 25, but has enjoyed a string of top-ten finishes in 2016, also including the Tour of Oman, Paris-Nice, Volta a Catalunya and Giro del Trentino.

A top-ten finisher at the Tour in each of the last two years, the challenge for the young Frenchman now is to prove he can be a serious contender rather than a nearly-ran.

Tour de France best results: sixth (2014)
Tour de France 2015: ninth
Ag2r-La Mondiale for 2016 Tour de France: Romain Bardet, Mickael Cherel, Cyril Gautier, Alexis Gougeard, Alexis Vuillermoz, Samuel Dumoulin (FRA), Jan Bakelants (BEL), Domenico Pozzovivo (ITA), Ben Gastauer (LUX)

Thibaut Pinot (FRA) – FDJ

Third in 2014, last year’s Tour de France couldn’t have started much worse for Thibaut Pinot, who found himself only just inside the top 30 after a disastrous opening week.

Thibaut Pinot celebrates his Dauphine stage win (pic: Sirotti)
  • 2016 best results
    Etoile de Besseges – third overall
    Volta ao Algarve – fourth overall
    Tirreno-Adriatico – fifth overall
    Criterium International – two stage wins, winner overall
    Tour de Romandie – one stage win, second overall
    Criterium du Dauphine – one stage win

But it ended in style – a breakaway regular by the end, the Frenchman won stage 20 atop Alpe d’Huez to prove what could have been.

That form continued this year too, with victory at the Criterium International and top-five finishes at the Tour de Romandie, Tour of the Basque Country, Tirreno-Adriatico, Volta ao Algarve and Etoile de Besseges.

He was never really in contention at the Criterium du Dauphine, but did win stage six in Meribel to take his season’s win tally up to five – the French time trial championship then making it six.

His podium finish in 2014 was as much down to the race-ending crashes of Chris Froome and Alberto Contador, but it proved Pinot can be a contender – the key now is to put last year’s disappointments firmly behind him.

Tour de France best results: third (2014)
Tour de France 2015: 16th
FDJ for 2016 Tour de France: Thibaut Pinot, Cedric Pineau, William Bonnet, Matthieu Ladagnous, Anthony Roux, Jeremy Roy, Arthur Vichot (FRA), Steve Morabito, Sebastien Reichenbach (SUI)

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